USCIS released their latest update on H1B cap count today with petitions that were received as of May 6th, 2010. Here is an update since previous H1B cap numbers on April 27th, 2010
- New 1500 Cap eligible H1B visa petitions were filed for Regular Quota
- New 700 cap eligible H1B petitions for Advanced degree cap
Updated : Check May 18th , 2010 H1B cap count update for latest count
May 11th , 2010 , USCIS official Total H1B cap count update :
|Regular H1B Cap H1B filings||18,000 of total 65,000|
|Advanced degree cap filing count||7,600 of total 20,000|
|Total H1B visa petitions received||25,600 of total 85,000|
Analysis of H1B cap count and Prediction of H1B petition filings for FY2011 for this year
As I was saying in last week analysis that it will be a bumpy ride, today’s updates prove that. There has been a steep surge in the number of H1B petitions filed. The regular cap petitions filed were only 245 last week, but this week it is up by more than 3 times reaching 1500. It is even more obvious for advanced cap MS degree holders which was only 161 last week and this week it is up by more than 4 times reaching 700. Just to let you know, so that you are on the same page, the numbers mentioned above are the ones that were filed between April 27th and May 6th, 2010 and in fact, the petitions filed should have went through the LCA process which should have been a week before i.e April 20thor so. The main point I am trying to tell you , the numbers you see reflect the economic or job situation on or before April 20th. Do not tie any significant events in the last weeks like Stock market crash or Greek debt to the H1B cap numbers. Anyways, I have done a linear regression analysis on the data that has been collected up until now and you can see the predicted trend for H1B FY 2011 Cap count fill dates . Supposedly we have the same pace in filings, the cap might last for a very long time i.e. we would have only 50,000 H1B visa petitions filed until Dec 21st and we can go further into January of 2011. But, this is just a linear prediction. The prediction does not take into account any Macroeconomic or employment numbers, so be cautious. The prediction is to just give you a birds view of things and be cautious if you are still planning on H1B visa, especially those on H4 and L1 visa trying to make a change of status or someone doing MS and planning to do a change of status from OPT.
What do you all think of the prediction ?