Advanced Degree H1B 2011 Cap Count and Predictions June 24th 2010

June 24th H1B visa FY 2011 Cap count Update – 1000 petitions filed. Graph.

In H1B Visa News by KumarUpdated : 4 Comments

USCIS release cap count update after 10 days and the H1B cap count as of June 18th, 2010.  Here is an update since previous cap numbers :

  • New 700 Cap eligible H1B visa petitions were filed for Regular Quota in last week.
  • New 300 cap eligible H1B petitions for Advanced degree cap in the last week.

Updated : Check  H1B FY 2011 cap count update page for  new updates, Analysis and Prediction

June 18th , 2010 USCIS official Total H1B cap count update :

Regular H1B Cap H1B filings 22,900    of total 65,000
Advanced degree cap filing count 9,700    of total 20,000
Total H1B visa petitions received 32,600 of total 85,000

H1B visa 2011 cap count  update Analysis and Prediction of petition filings:

The average H1B petitions filings were as same pace as last week.  As I wrote on June 14th H1B cap Count analysis, the new petitions filing is at a very slow pace. Employment Situation in US Department of Labor June 2010The economy is slowly recovering. If you look at the adjacent graph released by US Department of Labor , you can see that the jobs growth is stable. Currently, there are some worries about the housing market as the federal tax credit is done.  It is very hard to predict the economy and jobs because of the macro economic factors that influence. Personally, I do not see any jump in the filing of H1B petitions drastically.  I have been talking to few of my friends who were unemployed for a while, they say that the IT Consulting job market looks very good. Few of them got jobs, in fact multiple offers but had to turn them down. So, consulting wise, it looks great. Partly the reason for this good IT consulting outlook is because so many people not taking risks to change their status or staying in their home country working rather than coming to US.  As I always say, it is great opportunity for H4 visa holder and L1 visa holders to make their jobs search trials and get a good H1B sponsor.

Do you have any thoughts to share about economy or H1B cap count ?

Regular H1B 2011 cap count Trend Graph

Advanced Degree H1B Cap Prediction Graphs

Advanced Degree H1B 2011 Cap Count and Predictions June 24th 2010

Reference : Official USCIS H1-B Cap count update

Employment Graph Source : US Depart of labor

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Comments ( 4 )

  1. Sateesh

    I don’t completely agree with the analysis. For the masters quota, the trend line might not be as linear as the Regular Cap line. Most of the masters students graduate either in May or December and the applications would be concentrated in those periods of the year.

    1. administrator
      Kumar

      The analysis is just based on past numbers reported by USCIS and not my assumption. I agree with what you expect to see…in fact, thats what everyone (including me) would expect to see, but the numbers reported by USCIS do not match the general logic. It could be for the reason that students are using the 29 month OPT …

  2. Sheakar

    In the below link. It is told that the quote will be filled by August. Can you please comment?
    http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/Tech/Careers/Job-Trends/H-1B-visa-back-in-demand/articleshow/6101745.cms

    1. administrator
      Kumar

      Shekar, Interesting article. Thanks for sharing. Well, I do not think I will buy their prediction that it will be done by August…unless something drastically changes and there is a steep curve in the demand with more jobs created. I am not speaking this as my opinion, but just based on the data of H1B visa 2011 petition filing trend and prediction using the current trend. The point they are trying to say in article is, the visas issued are increased, that’s a valid point. I believe those visas are given to people with H1B and L1 petitions approved last year or even before. I knew three of my friends who had visas approved last year and before, but just got visas this year and came to US recently. It is a good sign for market for existing approved petitions, but the New H1B visa petition filings rules are more stringent and It is a little tough….What do you think ?

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