July 18th, H1B visa 2012 cap filings Doubled – 2,100. Debt Ceiling issue

In H1B Visa by KumarUpdated : 14 Comments

USCIS updated H1B cap count numbers earlier this morning.  Here are the numbers since last update by USCIS:

  • New 1,500 cap eligible petitions were filed for Regular quota
  • New 600 cap eligible petitions were filed for MS/Advanced degree quota.

July 15th,  H1B cap count updates by USCIS :

Regular H1B Cap H1B filings 20,500 of total 65,000
Advanced degree cap filing count 12,800 of total 20,000
Total H1B visa petitions received 33,300 of total 85,000

History of the Cap count Updates are tracked on our H1B Visa 2012 Cap Count Tracking page as well.

H1B petitions Filings over 100% increase. US Debt Ceiling Issue

It is not surprising to see a spike in H1B petition filings this week. As predicted last week, July 12th H1B update, the pace of filings picked up after July 4th break.  Regular quota H1B filings were up by over 100% from 600 last week to 1,500 this week…also, Masters quota filings were also up by 100% from 300 last week to 600 this week. There is nothing to panic by looking at the spike in filings as it is normal for filings to go up after any long weekend break.  Based on prediction, as in below graphs, the advanced degree H1B cap might be exhausted by first week of October, 2011…unlike, the regular quota cap may last beyond February 2012, if the current pace continues. Coming to next week’s prediction, we should be back to normal filings pace…

As we look at US Economy, nothing great to report…A survey by National Association of Business Economists, indicates less growth in 2011…despite slight drop in jobless claims, the low retail sales raises concerns on US economy growth. The hot topic on the table is “ US debt ceiling issue”…If there is ‘no deal’ to raise the debt ceiling by August 2nd, it can have unimaginable devastating impact on the US economy and we may hit another recession due to primary reasons like…rise in interest rates, cut in federal spending and potential delay/default in payments by govt….the stock market will tank subsequently…. In fact, there was never a situation like this before and hopefully it will not occur. If the debt ceiling is not raised, the unemployment will spike up, decreasing demand for H1B workers as well….Not so good…   Your thoughts on US economy Debt Ceiling  ?

Regular H1B cap Count 2012  Graph

July 18 H1B visa 2012 cap count update

Advanced Degree H1B cap count 2012 Graph

Advanced Degree July 18th H1B visa cap count update

 

 

   

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Comments ( 14 )

  1. ttk

    Hi

    i got RFE on 23 July 2012, am still waiting for my RFE notification from employeer. i have travel also to different country. any idea if i file in premium and reply my RFE in how many days i can get the response or status change,

    1. administrator
      Saurabh

      TTK,
      If upgraded to PP, USCIS will adjudicate the petition within 15 calendar days of receiving the RFE response.

  2. Karthi

    Hi,

    I have recived RFE on 1 June, and my RFE is submited on 15th June. When will my application get processed. What is the % of getting H1B sucess after getting RFE?

    Thanks
    Karthi

    1. administrator
      Saurabh

      Karthi,
      Chances vary from case to case. They can still take few weeks to several months to process the RFE response.

    2. Applied for H1

      Hi Karthi,

      My H1 petiotion reached USCIS on 6th of June, got RFE on June 16th. Submitted all the needed docs to USCIS on July20th, got Approval on 1st Aug.
      My case was applied in California center with Premium processing.

      Hope this helps u…

  3. Chandra

    Hi Saurabh,
    (Not sure whether my question got posted; there was some error in connection; so am posting it again)

    My petition got submitted on 21st Nov; I got the receipt no. on 22nd Nov (WAC…).
    Any idea whether the USCIS has started processing petitionsof this date?

    Regards
    Chandrachur

    1. administrator
      Saurabh

      Chandra,
      They are processing Oct-Nov petitions together. So your petition may get processed in next few weeks.

  4. sk1

    Hi, my consultant has applied for h1b on july10th(apprx). Till now i didn’t get any receipt number. I’m seeing that most of the ppl got the receipt numbers within a week or two. I;m just worried about my case. Is there a way of finding the status from USCIS. Whats the apprx time USCIS takes to send a receipt number. My consultant has been giving me same response that we are waiting for response from USCIS from past 3 weeks. Is there a chance that my consultant has not even applied my h1b . Can you please suggest….

    1. administrator
      Saurabh

      Receipt numbers are usually received within 1-2 weeks. Yes, some companies do not apply for H-1 even after saying so. You cannot contact USCIS directly. The only way is to push your employer to follow-up w/ USCIS.

  5. Srikanth

    Hi Saurabh,
    Firstly many thanks for your blog. You’re doing a splendid Job.
    My H1B receipt date is July 30 2010. There was lot of delay in processing and at last got an RFE in April 2011. My Employer has responded and now status changed to RFE Response Review on July 1st. Now I am deputed to Italy through my current working company from March 2011 to Dec 2011. If my application gets approved in next month.. can i attend the interview in Dec 2011? Can i schedule my VISA interview from Italy? After receiving RFE and this much delay what are my chances of approval? kindly suggest.
    Thanks in Advance,
    Srikanth

    1. administrator
      Saurabh

      Wow that’s a long delay!

      Yes, you can go for stamping in December. Your employer would have to demonstrate that they still want to hire you, so do carry recent employment documents from that employer.

      As for attending interview from Italy, that depends upon restrictions US consulate in Italy has on TCNs (third country nationals). You can call them and ask them.

      Success chances depend upon how satisfied USCIS officer is after reviewing your employer’s response. I can’t give a concrete or range of numbers.

  6. Patel

    Hi Saurabh,

    I have applied for H1B in Advanced Degree Quota (Regular) and got RFE regarding the company. USCIS is asking “Why the company needs me.” There is no RFE regarding my Educational Qualifications. My employer is preparing the documents. I want to know after receiving RFE on the company what are my chances of approval. Your thoughts will be helpful.

    1. administrator
      Saurabh

      Depends upon the response your company submits. If they are able to show how they would utilize the skills you have (either through your education or past work experience), then it should get approved.

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