USCIS earlier today announced a press release indicating the overall H1B registrations received by them as part of the New H1B registration process, where H1B sponsors filed H1B applications for their employees or prospects as registrations in Online H1B registration tool built by USCIS. They have previously announced completion of H1B Registration Lottery Selection Process, now today they have shared the numbers, also confirmed the filing dates and additional details. We will cover all of those in this article.
Summary of USCIS Press Release – 275K registrations
Below are the various topics address by USCIS in their news released today.
- H1B Petition Filing Dates: USCIS confirmed the previous information stating that all employers, with selected valid registrations, can file H1B petitions with USCIS starting from April 1st. Employers can only file H1B FY 2021 Petition, if they have registered the applicant in the H1B registration system as part of the new process and USCIS has selected them through random selection also called as Lottery Process. Employers for the selected applicants will be able to print a H1B registration selection notice and that has to be attached with the H1B petition filing. It is a I-797C form and looks like below: You can check out Sample H1B Registration Selection Notice for full details and what fields mean.
- Total H1B Registrations Filed Count : USCIS received a whopping 275,000 unique H1B registrations or applications in the new H1B Registration online system for fiscal year 2021. This is the first time USCIS has received so many applications (registrations) in the history of H1B Program. The previous highest was 236,000 petitions in FY 2017. You can check H1B Cap Reach History, total filings numbers to look at past data. Our prediction was about 230k to 260k petitions in our H1B 2021 Lottery Predictions, the actuals are pretty close with 5% error from 260k.
- US Masters Registrations Count : USCIS for the first time gave the split during the filing season and they say about 46% of the petitions filed were in US Masters Category. If you look the numbers, it comes down to 126,500 applications or registrations. Some other
- How many Employers – Accounts Created : There were 40,000 registration accounts created. Technically you can think of this as 40,000 employers have filed H1B registrations this year.
- Country Counts for Filings : USCIS says that India and China accounted for about 81% of the total submitted registrations. Below is the split.
- India H1B Registrations Count : 67.7% of total registrations = 186,175
- China H1B Registrations Count : 13.2% of total registrations = 36,300
- Online H1B Petitions Not available : USCIS reaffirmed that unlike other petitions or form types, H1B petition cannot be filed online and employers need to submit full H1B petition with Registration notice in paper form within 90 days. It should include the registration selection notice as well.
- US Masters Eligibility Proof : They also highlighted that all the H1B registrations selected in US Masters category need to establish their eligibility of US Masters at the time of filing the petition and during the processing time of the H1B petition.
- General H1B Requirements : USCIS reiterates that H1B registration process does not really relieve them from submitting all the evidence that is required for establishing the H1B petition eligibility such as LCA, Client letters, Agreements, Job duties, etc.
- H1B Registration System Feedback : USCIS says that the new process of registration was well received by all the users and they gave good feedback. They also did a lot of public outreach, in fact they conducted webinars, gave out of info to educate the stakeholders.
- Modernized Process, Savings: USCIS says that the new modernized process has reduced a lot of paper and data exchanges between them and the H1B Sponsors. They also say there were limited technical issues too…and they believe that the new system is one way to modernize the H1B Program.
You may watch the YouTube Video below that has all the update covered here.
Total H1B Applications Count, Stats, Probabilities for FY 2021
Below is the summary of the total H1B applications( registrations) count for FY 2021 season.
|Description of FY 2021 Stat||Total Numbers|
|Total H1B Applications( Registrations)||275,000|
|Total Registered Accounts ( Employers)||40,000|
|Total US Masters Quota Filings||126,500 ( 46% of Total)|
|Total Regular Quota Category Filings||148,500 ( 54% of Total )|
|Total filings from Indian Nationals||186,175 ( 67% of Total )|
|Total filings from Chinese Nationals||36,300 (13.2% of Total )|
Based on the filings, your (approximate) probability stats were like below. I am not a math expert but tried to do it. Please correct me, if wrong 🙂
Thanks to Amit for helping correct the math below and Sreejith for validating it.
Regular Quota Probability, Counts
- Lottery Step 1 Overall probability: 65,000/275,000 = 23.63%
- Regular Quota Applicants Probability = 23.63%
- Selected from Regular Quota : 23.63%*148,500 = 35,110
- Selected from Masters in First Round : 23.63%*126500 = 29,990
Masters Quota Probability, Counts
- Remaining : 126,500 – 29,990 = 96,600
- Probability of Selection in Round 2 US Masters = 20,000/96,600 = 20.7%
- Total Masters Selected in Second round = 20,000
Summary of Probabilities and Counts
- Chances of masters to get selected => 49,990/126,500 = 39.51%
- Chances of general getting selected = 23.63%
- Total US Masters selected : 49,990
- Total Regular Quota selected : 35,110
Did you submit H1B Registration for FY 2021 ? In general, the registration process is new and also during H1B application processing, the wait can be long and frustrating to see your status not move….Add your case to tracker
What was NOT covered in the USCIS press release ?
They have not covered any details regarding the below items
- If there would be second round of H1B lottery or registration selection process
- If there was one, when will that be ? Is it June 30th or later ?
- No details on COVID-19 and if any changes to the H1B filing timelines
- They have not indicated anything on the Premium Processing too…
- How long the unselected applicants have to wait…
What are your thoughts on this ? What do you think of the probabilities ? Add your thoughts in comments…
Reference : USCIS Press Release