USCIS released their latest update on H1B cap count today that were received as of May 14th, 2010. Here is an update since previous cap numbers :
- New 1000 Cap eligible H1B visa petitions were filed for Regular Quota
- New 500 cap eligible H1B petitions for Advanced degree cap
May 11th , 2010 , USCIS official Total H1B cap count update :
|Regular H1B Cap H1B filings||19,000 of total 65,000|
|Advanced degree cap filing count||8,100 of total 20,000|
|Total H1B visa petitions received||27,100 of total 85,000|
H1B cap count update Analysis and Prediction of petition filings for FY2011
Well, I do not know if you have noticed, seems like the we are right on track with our trend as predicted last week. There has not been many fluctuations in the filings. Seems smooth. If the H1Bs are filed as this week, we will still be left with 46,000 visas and it will last 46 weeks. That is 322 days or 10 months. It is unlikely, but just trying to tell you the stats. On the other hand, for advanced cap we had 500 this week, if this rate goes we may have advanced cap last for another 23 weeks or over 5 months. I expect this number to be up in next few weeks because of Spring graduates officially graduating with degree in May. From an Unemployment rate perspective, the national unemployment rate was up by 0.2% in April reaching 9.9%. It was steady at 9.7% in Jan, Feb and March 2010. I do not know if it means a lot for H1B visa petition filings for FY 2011 cap, but we can expect the same trend with bumpy ride of ups and downs.
What do you all think of the prediction? Any thoughts to add ?
Regular H1B 2011 cap count Trend Graph
Advanced Degree H1B Cap Prediction Graphs
Reference: Official USCIS H1-B Cap count update